here with you during the primaries and we saw michele bachmann, rick perry, newt gingrich and rick santorum all be crowned somebody who is going to get the nomination for the republican party. didn't happen. nobody picked paul ryan. nobody knew the momentum was going to swing on the first debate. so all we can do is expect the unexpected. i think that stay tuned, it will be very anti-climatic for this to go as planned. >> ben smith, where do you think the real battleground will be? a lot of people are talking about ohio, pennsylvania, florida. the democrats still saying it could not go romney's way, all these things could be pivotal to how the election washes up. where will you be focused tomorrow night? >> look, mitt romney has -- obama has a lot of paths to victory. romney has very few. they will be states like virginia, florida. if obama wins those states, pretty much over. romney needs to run the table and do well in ohio and pennsylvania. those are must-wins for him. >> charles, when you look at both campaigns from start to finish, what do you think has run the better campaign? >> i th